UPDATED Aug. 21, 2024, at 4:11 PM
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Who’s ahead in all?
Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.
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ESTIMATE
95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE
Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.
| Dates | Samplei SAMPLE TYPES A ADULTS V VOTERS LV LIKELY VOTERS RV REGISTERED VOTERS | Pollster | Sponsor | Result | Net result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Datesi SAMPLE TYPES A ADULTS V VOTERS LV LIKELY VOTERS RV REGISTERED VOTERS | Pollster | Result |
Polls ending Aug. 19, 2024
President: general election, 2024AVG.
Aug. 17-20 | 1,371 | RV | Aug. 17-20 1,371RV | The Economist | Harris | 46% | Harris | 46% | Harris 46% Trump 43% Kennedy 3% West 0% Stein 0% | 43% | Trump | Harris | +3 | ||
46% Harris 43% Trump 3% Kennedy 0% West 0% Stein | |||||||||||||||
Aug. 18, 2024
President: general election, Pennsylvania, 2024AVG.
Aug. 18-19 | 800 | LV | Aug. 18-19 800LV | Harris | 46% | Harris | 46% | Harris 46% Trump 47% | 47% | Trump | Trump | +1 |
President: general election, ME-2, 2024
Aug. 15-19 | 432 | LV | Aug. 15-19 432LV | Harris | 52% | Harris | 52% | Harris 52% Trump 47% | 47% | Trump | Harris | +5 | |||
Aug. 15-19 | 443 | LV | Aug. 15-19 443LV | Harris | 49% | Harris | 49% | Harris 49% Trump 44% Kennedy 2% Oliver 1% Stein 1% West 0% | 44% | Trump | Harris | +5 | |||
49% Harris 44% Trump 2% Kennedy 1% Oliver 1% Stein 0% West | |||||||||||||||
President: general election, ME-1, 2024
Aug. 15-19 | 476 | LV | Aug. 15-19 476LV | Harris | 64% | Harris | 64% | Harris 64% Trump 36% | 36% | Trump | Harris | +28 | |||
Aug. 15-19 | 490 | LV | Aug. 15-19 490LV | Harris | 62% | Harris | 62% | Harris 62% Trump 33% Kennedy 2% Oliver 1% Stein 0% West 0% | 33% | Trump | Harris | +29 | |||
62% Harris 33% Trump 2% Kennedy 1% Oliver 0% Stein 0% West | |||||||||||||||
President: general election, Maine, 2024
Aug. 15-19 | 951 | LV | Aug. 15-19 951LV | Harris | 58% | Harris | 58% | Harris 58% Trump 41% | 41% | Trump | Harris | +17 | |||
Aug. 15-19 | 951 | LV | Aug. 15-19 951LV | Harris | 55% | Harris | 55% | Harris 55% Trump 38% Kennedy 2% Oliver 1% Stein 1% West 0% | 38% | Trump | Harris | +17 | |||
55% Harris 38% Trump 2% Kennedy 1% Oliver 1% Stein 0% West | |||||||||||||||
President: general election, Vermont, 2024
Aug. 15-19 | 924 | LV | Aug. 15-19 924LV | Harris | 70% | Harris | 70% | Harris 70% Trump 29% | 29% | Trump | Harris | +41 | |||
Aug. 15-19 | 924 | LV | Aug. 15-19 924LV | Harris | 67% | Harris | 67% | Harris 67% Trump 27% Kennedy 3% Oliver 0% West 0% | 27% | Trump | Harris | +40 | |||
67% Harris 27% Trump 3% Kennedy 0% Oliver 0% West | |||||||||||||||
President: general election, New Hampshire, 2024
Aug. 15-19 | 2,048 | LV | Aug. 15-19 2,048LV | Harris | 52% | Harris | 52% | Harris 52% Trump 47% | 47% | Trump | Harris | +5 | |||
Aug. 15-19 | 2,048 | LV | Aug. 15-19 2,048LV | Harris | 50% | Harris | 50% | Harris 50% Trump 43% Kennedy 4% Oliver 0% Stein 0% | 43% | Trump | Harris | +7 | |||
50% Harris 43% Trump 4% Kennedy 0% Oliver 0% Stein | |||||||||||||||
President: general election, California, 2024
Aug. 2-19 | 400 | LV | Aug. 2-19 400LV | Harris | 65% | Harris | 65% | Harris 65% Trump 35% | 35% | Trump | Harris | +31 |
Aug. 17, 2024
President: general election, 2024AVG.
Aug. 18 | 876 | LV | Aug. 18 876LV | On Point Politics, Red Eagle Politics Red Eagle Politics is a partisan sponsor for the Republican Party. | Harris | 50% | Harris | 50% | Harris 50% Trump 48% | 48% | Trump | Harris | +2 | ||
Aug. 18 | 1,000 | RV | Aug. 18 1,000RV | On Point Politics, Red Eagle Politics Red Eagle Politics is a partisan sponsor for the Republican Party. | Harris | 49% | Harris | 49% | Harris 49% Trump 47% | 47% | Trump | Harris | +2 | ||
Aug. 16-18 | 11,501 | RV | Aug. 16-18 11,501RV | Harris | 48% | Harris | 48% | Harris 48% Trump 44% | 44% | Trump | Harris | +4 | |||
Aug. 14-18 | 1,530 | LV | Aug. 14-18 1,530LV | Harris | 46% | Harris | 46% | Harris 46% Trump 42% Kennedy 5% West 1% Stein 1% | 42% | Trump | Harris | +5 | |||
46% Harris 42% Trump 5% Kennedy 1% West 1% Stein | |||||||||||||||
Aug. 14-18 | 1,698 | RV | Aug. 14-18 1,698RV | Harris | 44% | Harris | 44% | Harris 44% Trump 40% Kennedy 6% West 1% Stein 1% | 40% | Trump | Harris | +4 | |||
44% Harris 40% Trump 6% Kennedy 1% West 1% Stein | |||||||||||||||
Aug. 14-18 | 2,022 | A | Aug. 14-18 2,022A | Harris | 41% | Harris | 41% | Harris 41% Trump 37% Kennedy 6% West 1% Stein 1% | 37% | Trump | Harris | +4 | |||
41% Harris 37% Trump 6% Kennedy 1% West 1% Stein | |||||||||||||||
Aug. 16, 2024
President: general election, NE-2, 2024
Aug. 14-17 | 656 | LV | Aug. 14-17 656LV | Harris | 50% | Harris | 50% | Harris 50% Trump 42% Kennedy 2% West 1% Oliver 1% Stein 0% | 42% | Trump | Harris | +8 | |||
50% Harris 42% Trump 2% Kennedy 1% West 1% Oliver 0% Stein | |||||||||||||||
Aug. 15, 2024
President: general election, 2024AVG.
Aug. 14-16 | 3,253 | LV | Aug. 14-16 3,253LV | CBS News | Harris | 49% | Harris | 49% | Harris 49% Trump 47% Kennedy 2% Stein 1% West 0% Oliver 0% | 47% | Trump | Harris | +2 | ||
49% Harris 47% Trump 2% Kennedy 1% Stein 0% West 0% Oliver | |||||||||||||||
Aug. 14-16 | 3,253 | LV | Aug. 14-16 3,253LV | CBS News | Harris | 51% | Harris | 51% | Harris 51% Trump 48% | 48% | Trump | Harris | +3 | ||
President: general election, Virginia, 2024
Aug. 12-16 | 691 | LV | Aug. 12-16 691LV | Harris | 45% | Harris | 45% | Harris 45% Trump 42% Kennedy 6% West 2% Oliver 2% Stein 0% | 42% | Trump | Harris | +3 | |||
45% Harris 42% Trump 6% Kennedy 2% West 2% Oliver 0% Stein | |||||||||||||||
Aug. 12-16 | 691 | LV | Aug. 12-16 691LV | Harris | 47% | Harris | 47% | Harris 47% Trump 44% | 44% | Trump | Harris | +3 | |||
President: general election, Wisconsin, 2024AVG.
Aug. 6-16 | 700 | LV | Aug. 6-16 700LV | Harris | 50% | Harris | 50% | Harris 50% Trump 44% Kennedy 4% Stein 1% Oliver 0% | 44% | Trump | Harris | +6 | |||
50% Harris 44% Trump 4% Kennedy 1% Stein 0% Oliver | |||||||||||||||
Aug. 6-16 | RV | Aug. 6-16 RV | Harris | 50% | Harris | 50% | Harris 50% Trump 42% Kennedy 5% Stein 1% Oliver 0% | 42% | Trump | Harris | +8 | ||||
50% Harris 42% Trump 5% Kennedy 1% Stein 0% Oliver | |||||||||||||||
Aug. 6-16 | 700 | A | Aug. 6-16 700A | Harris | 50% | Harris | 50% | Harris 50% Trump 43% Kennedy 5% Stein 1% Oliver 0% | 43% | Trump | Harris | +7 | |||
50% Harris 43% Trump 5% Kennedy 1% Stein 0% Oliver | |||||||||||||||
Aug. 6-16 | 700 | LV | Aug. 6-16 700LV | Harris | 53% | Harris | 53% | Harris 53% Trump 48% | 48% | Trump | Harris | +5 | |||
President: general election, Pennsylvania, 2024AVG.
Aug. 6-16 | 719 | LV | Aug. 6-16 719LV | Harris | 48% | Harris | 48% | Harris 48% Trump 47% Kennedy 4% Oliver 0% Stein 0% | 47% | Trump | Harris | +1 | |||
48% Harris 47% Trump 4% Kennedy 0% Oliver 0% Stein | |||||||||||||||
Aug. 6-16 | RV | Aug. 6-16 RV | Harris | 49% | Harris | 49% | Harris 49% Trump 46% Kennedy 4% Oliver 0% Stein 0% | 46% | Trump | Harris | +3 | ||||
49% Harris 46% Trump 4% Kennedy 0% Oliver 0% Stein | |||||||||||||||
Aug. 6-16 | 719 | A | Aug. 6-16 719A | Harris | 47% | Harris | 47% | Harris 47% Trump 47% Kennedy 4% Oliver 0% Stein 0% | 47% | Trump | Even | ||||
47% Harris 47% Trump 4% Kennedy 0% Oliver 0% Stein | |||||||||||||||
Aug. 6-16 | 719 | LV | Aug. 6-16 719LV | Harris | 50% | Harris | 50% | Harris 50% Trump 50% | 50% | Trump | Even | ||||
President: general election, North Carolina, 2024AVG.
Aug. 6-16 | 702 | LV | Aug. 6-16 702LV | Harris | 47% | Harris | 47% | Harris 47% Trump 46% Kennedy 5% Stein 1% Oliver 0% | 46% | Trump | Harris | +1 | |||
47% Harris 46% Trump 5% Kennedy 1% Stein 0% Oliver | |||||||||||||||
Aug. 6-16 | RV | Aug. 6-16 RV | Harris | 47% | Harris | 47% | Harris 47% Trump 44% Kennedy 6% Stein 1% Oliver 0% | 44% | Trump | Harris | +3 | ||||
47% Harris 44% Trump 6% Kennedy 1% Stein 0% Oliver | |||||||||||||||
Aug. 6-16 | 702 | A | Aug. 6-16 702A | Harris | 47% | Harris | 47% | Harris 47% Trump 43% Kennedy 7% Stein 1% Oliver 0% | 43% | Trump | Harris | +4 | |||
47% Harris 43% Trump 7% Kennedy 1% Stein 0% Oliver | |||||||||||||||
Aug. 6-16 | 702 | LV | Aug. 6-16 702LV | Harris | 50% | Harris | 50% | Harris 50% Trump 50% | 50% | Trump | Even | ||||
President: general election, Nevada, 2024AVG.
Aug. 6-16 | 678 | LV | Aug. 6-16 678LV | Harris | 48% | Harris | 48% | Harris 48% Trump 42% Kennedy 7% Oliver 1% Stein 0% | 42% | Trump | Harris | +5 | |||
48% Harris 42% Trump 7% Kennedy 1% Oliver 0% Stein | |||||||||||||||
Aug. 6-16 | RV | Aug. 6-16 RV | Harris | 49% | Harris | 49% | Harris 49% Trump 39% Kennedy 9% Oliver 1% Stein 0% | 39% | Trump | Harris | +10 | ||||
49% Harris 39% Trump 9% Kennedy 1% Oliver 0% Stein | |||||||||||||||
Aug. 6-16 | 678 | A | Aug. 6-16 678A | Harris | 49% | Harris | 49% | Harris 49% Trump 39% Kennedy 9% Oliver 1% Stein 0% | 39% | Trump | Harris | +10 | |||
49% Harris 39% Trump 9% Kennedy 1% Oliver 0% Stein | |||||||||||||||
Aug. 6-16 | 678 | LV | Aug. 6-16 678LV | Harris | 54% | Harris | 54% | Harris 54% Trump 46% | 46% | Trump | Harris | +7 | |||
President: general election, Michigan, 2024AVG.
Aug. 6-16 | 702 | LV | Aug. 6-16 702LV | Harris | 51% | Harris | 51% | Harris 51% Trump 44% Kennedy 4% Stein 1% Oliver 0% | 44% | Trump | Harris | +7 | |||
51% Harris 44% Trump 4% Kennedy 1% Stein 0% Oliver | |||||||||||||||
Aug. 6-16 | RV | Aug. 6-16 RV | Harris | 50% | Harris | 50% | Harris 50% Trump 44% Kennedy 4% Stein 1% Oliver 0% | 44% | Trump | Harris | +6 | ||||
50% Harris 44% Trump 4% Kennedy 1% Stein 0% Oliver | |||||||||||||||
Aug. 6-16 | 702 | A | Aug. 6-16 702A | Harris | 50% | Harris | 50% | Harris 50% Trump 42% Kennedy 5% Stein 1% Oliver 0% | 42% | Trump | Harris | +8 | |||
50% Harris 42% Trump 5% Kennedy 1% Stein 0% Oliver | |||||||||||||||
Aug. 6-16 | 702 | LV | Aug. 6-16 702LV | Harris | 53% | Harris | 53% | Harris 53% Trump 47% | 47% | Trump | Harris | +6 | |||
President: general election, Georgia, 2024AVG.
Aug. 6-16 | 651 | LV | Aug. 6-16 651LV | Harris | 45% | Harris | 45% | Harris 45% Trump 49% Kennedy 2% Oliver 0% Stein 0% | 49% | Trump | Trump | +4 | |||
45% Harris 49% Trump 2% Kennedy 0% Oliver 0% Stein | |||||||||||||||
Aug. 6-16 | RV | Aug. 6-16 RV | Harris | 46% | Harris | 46% | Harris 46% Trump 47% Kennedy 3% Oliver 0% Stein 0% | 47% | Trump | Trump | +1 | ||||
46% Harris 47% Trump 3% Kennedy 0% Oliver 0% Stein | |||||||||||||||
Aug. 6-16 | 651 | A | Aug. 6-16 651A | Harris | 46% | Harris | 46% | Harris 46% Trump 47% Kennedy 3% Oliver 0% Stein 0% | 47% | Trump | Trump | +1 | |||
46% Harris 47% Trump 3% Kennedy 0% Oliver 0% Stein | |||||||||||||||
Aug. 6-16 | 651 | LV | Aug. 6-16 651LV | Harris | 48% | Harris | 48% | Harris 48% Trump 52% | 52% | Trump | Trump | +4 | |||
President: general election, Arizona, 2024AVG.
Aug. 6-16 | 702 | LV | Aug. 6-16 702LV | Harris | 45% | Harris | 45% | Harris 45% Trump 46% Kennedy 7% Stein 0% Oliver 0% | 46% | Trump | Trump | +1 | |||
45% Harris 46% Trump 7% Kennedy 0% Stein 0% Oliver | |||||||||||||||
Aug. 6-16 | RV | Aug. 6-16 RV | Harris | 45% | Harris | 45% | Harris 45% Trump 45% Kennedy 9% Oliver 0% Stein 0% | 45% | Trump | Even | |||||
45% Harris 45% Trump 9% Kennedy 0% Oliver 0% Stein | |||||||||||||||
Aug. 6-16 | 702 | A | Aug. 6-16 702A | Harris | 42% | Harris | 42% | Harris 42% Trump 46% Kennedy 9% Oliver 0% Stein 0% | 46% | Trump | Trump | +4 | |||
42% Harris 46% Trump 9% Kennedy 0% Oliver 0% Stein | |||||||||||||||
Aug. 6-16 | 702 | LV | Aug. 6-16 702LV | Harris | 49% | Harris | 49% | Harris 49% Trump 51% | 51% | Trump | Trump | +3 | |||
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The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.
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Design and development by Ryan Best, Aaron Bycoffe, Holly Fuong, Christopher Groskopf, Ritchie King, Ella Koeze, Dhrumil Mehta, Jasmine Mithani, Mary Radcliffe, Anna Wiederkehr and Julia Wolfe. Polling averages by G. Elliott Morris. Cooper Burton, Holly Fuong, Andrea Jones-Rooy, Irena Li, Dhrumil Mehta, Mary Radcliffe, Nathaniel Rakich, Derek Shan, Geoffrey Skelley and Julia Wolfe contributed research. Editing by Sarah Frostenson, Nathaniel Rakich, Kaleigh Rogers and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux. Copy editing by Cooper Burton, Holly Fuong, Alex Kimball, Jennifer Mason, Andrew Mangan, Maya Sweedler and Curtis Yee.
